Ron Johnson Will Face Difficult Re-Election Battle In 2016

Wisconsin Democrats and Republicans are looking ahead to the 2016 general election, when U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson will face what he admits will be a difficult re-election battle.

Johnson was speaking to a Republican crowd at a recent town hall when he was asked what keeps him going when so many longtime lawmakers lose their punch. Johnson responded that he was definitely a “horse of a different color” in Washington, D.C., and said he missed his old life.

Then, on his own, he brought up his re-election.

“Come November, whatever day it is in 2016, I will guarantee you I will be the calmest on Election Night,” Johnson said. “I win either way. I either get back my life that I miss, or…”

After long pause, Johnson gathered his thoughts and continued.

“I would be thankful that Wisconsin at least — even though so many people don’t agree with me, maybe a majority — but at least maybe a majority of Wisconsinites will have rendered their decision and go, ‘You know, maybe we don’t agree with Johnson all the time, but we need a guy like him there,’” he said.

Tim Dale, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse political science professor, said he takes Johnson at his word when the senator says he won’t change his positions just to get elected.

“I think every indication that we’ve received from Johnson is that he represents a more conservative side of the Republican Party,” he said.

Dale said that will protect Johnson from the kind of conservative primary challenges that have plagued incumbent senators in other parts of the country, but it likely won’t help him in a general election. Dale said national Democrats will go after Johnson.

“They see Wisconsin as a place where Democrats can easily win, and those would be the places that are targeted first and foremost,” he said.

Helping Democrats, Dale says, will be an electorate that looks much different in 2016 than it did when Johnson was first elected in 2010. Turnout is much higher in presidential years, and that has historically favored Democrats in Wisconsin.

Already a couple Democrats have hinted that they might run against Johnson, including U.S. Rep. Ron Kind, D-La Crosse, and former U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold.