Wisconsin Survey
Spring 2006
Senator Kohl & U.S. House Elections
Survey Information:
Number of Adult Wisconsin Resident Respondents: 400
Interview Period: March 29 – April 7, 2006
Margin of Error: +/- 5% at the 95% confidence level.
Contact:
Wendy Scattergood
Assistant Professor of Political Science, St. Norbert College Survey Center
DePere, WI 54115
(920) 403-3491
wendy.scattergood@snc.edu
Senator Kohl’s Favorability Ratings
ð 70% of respondents had a favorable view of Senator Kohl
ð Among Democrats, Kohl’s favorability was 86%, while it was 64% among Independents and 56% among Republicans
U.S. Senate Election
ð Kohl leads the field in the election race for his seat in the U.S. Senate.
ð 52% of registered voters said they would vote for Kohl
ð 50% of all respondents said they would vote for Kohl
ð 71% of Democrats said they would vote for Kohl
ð 32% of Republicans said they would vote for Kohl
ð 46% of Independents said they would vote for Kohl
U.S. House Election
ð Slightly more people said they were going to vote for the Democratic candidate in their U.S. House election in their district than Republican
ð 40% said they would vote for a Democratic candidate, compared to 31% for a Republican candidate
ð The vote was mostly on party lines for Democrats and Republicans, while Independents were nearly evenly split with 21% saying they would vote for a Democratic candidate, 23% for a Republican and 17% for an Independent candidate.
Senator Kohl Favorability Ratings
|
Favorable
|
Neutral
|
Unfavorable
|
Not Heard Of
|
Not Sure
|
Refused
/ NA
|
Herb Kohl
|
70%
|
8%
|
16%
|
5%
|
2%
|
0%
|
ð Removing the “not heard of,” “not sure,” and “refused,” Kohl’s favorability percent is 75%, 8% neutral and 17% unfavorable.
ð Among registered voters, Kohl’s favorability was 72%, 7% neutral, 16% unfavorable, 4% not heard of, and 1% not sure.
Favorability Ratings by Party Identification
|
Favorable
|
Neutral
|
Unfavorable
|
Not Heard Of
|
Not Sure
|
Democrats
|
86%
|
2%
|
3%
|
7%
|
3%
|
Republicans
|
56%
|
10%
|
30%
|
4%
|
1%
|
Independents
|
64%
|
11%
|
21%
|
3%
|
2%
|
Other Party
|
69%
|
16%
|
9%
|
6%
|
0%
|
U.S. Senate Election
Next we would like to ask you about this year’s U.S. Senate race between Senator Herb Kohl and Republican and Democratic challengers. If the election were held today, would you be more likely to vote for one of the Republican challengers, one of the Democratic challengers, Herb Kohl, or an independent/third party candidate?
Republican Challenger 19%
Democratic Challenger 10%
Herb Kohl 50%
Independent/Third Party 4%
Probably Won’t Vote 3%
Not Sure 15%
Refused <1%
|
Republican Challenger
|
Democratic Challenger
|
Herb Kohl
|
Independent/
Third Party Candidate
|
Probably Won’t Vote
|
Not Sure
|
Democrats
|
0%
|
20%
|
71%
|
1%
|
1%
|
7%
|
Republicans
|
49%
|
2%
|
32%
|
2%
|
2%
|
14%
|
Independents
|
11%
|
5%
|
46%
|
15%
|
3%
|
21%
|
Other Party
|
6%
|
3%
|
34%
|
6%
|
3%
|
47%
|
Registered Voters
|
19%
|
9%
|
52%
|
3%
|
2%
|
15%
|
U.S. House Elections
Regarding the race for the U.S. House of Representatives, will you most likely be voting for the Republican, the Democrat, or an independent/third party candidate for your district?
Republican 31%
Democrat 40%
Independent/Third Party 6%
Probably Won’t Vote 4%
Not Sure 20%
Refused <1%
|
Republican Challenger
|
Democratic Challenger
|
Independent/
Third Party Candidate
|
Probably Won’t Vote
|
Not Sure
|
Democrats
|
1%
|
84%
|
3%
|
2%
|
10%
|
Republicans
|
78%
|
5%
|
4%
|
2%
|
11%
|
Independents
|
23%
|
21%
|
17%
|
6%
|
33%
|
Other Party
|
3%
|
19%
|
13%
|
3%
|
63%
|
Registered Voters
|
31%
|
41%
|
6%
|
3%
|
19%
|
