Wisconsin Survey

Spring 2006

Senator Kohl & U.S. House Elections

 

Survey Information:

 

Number of Adult Wisconsin Resident Respondents:  400

Interview Period: March 29 – April 7, 2006

Margin of Error: +/- 5% at the 95% confidence level.

 

Contact:

Wendy Scattergood

Assistant Professor of Political Science, St. Norbert College Survey Center

DePere, WI 54115

(920) 403-3491

wendy.scattergood@snc.edu

 

 

 

Senator Kohl’s Favorability Ratings

š     70% of respondents had a favorable view of Senator Kohl

š     Among Democrats, Kohl’s favorability was 86%, while it was 64% among Independents and 56% among Republicans

 

U.S. Senate Election

š     Kohl leads the field in the election race for his seat in the U.S. Senate.

š     52% of registered voters said they would vote for Kohl

š     50%  of all respondents said they would vote for Kohl

š     71% of Democrats said they would vote for Kohl

š     32% of Republicans said they would vote for Kohl

š     46% of Independents said they would vote for Kohl

           

 

U.S. House Election

š     Slightly more people said they were going to vote for the Democratic candidate in their U.S. House election in their district than Republican

š     40% said they would vote for a Democratic candidate, compared to 31% for a Republican candidate

š     The vote was mostly on party lines for Democrats and Republicans, while Independents were nearly evenly split with 21% saying they would vote for a Democratic candidate, 23% for a Republican and 17% for an Independent candidate.

 

 

Senator Kohl Favorability Ratings

 

 

 

Favorable

Neutral

Unfavorable

Not Heard Of

Not Sure

Refused

/ NA

Herb Kohl

70%

8%

16%

5%

2%

0%

 

š     Removing the “not heard of,” “not sure,” and “refused,” Kohl’s favorability percent is 75%, 8% neutral and 17% unfavorable.

 

š     Among registered voters, Kohl’s favorability was 72%, 7% neutral, 16% unfavorable, 4% not heard of, and 1% not sure.

 

 

Favorability Ratings by Party Identification

 

Favorable

Neutral

Unfavorable

Not Heard Of

Not Sure

Democrats

86%

2%

3%

7%

3%

Republicans

56%

10%

30%

4%

1%

Independents

64%

11%

21%

3%

2%

Other Party

69%

16%

9%

6%

0%

 

 

U.S. Senate Election

 

Next we would like to ask you about this year’s U.S. Senate race between Senator Herb Kohl and Republican and Democratic challengers. If the election were held today, would you be more likely to vote for one of the Republican challengers, one of the Democratic challengers, Herb Kohl, or an independent/third party candidate?

 

                                          Republican Challenger               19%

                                          Democratic Challenger              10%

                                          Herb Kohl                                 50%

                                          Independent/Third Party                        4%

                                          Probably Won’t Vote                 3%

                                          Not Sure                                   15%

                                          Refused                                    <1%

 

 

Republican Challenger

Democratic Challenger

Herb Kohl

Independent/

Third Party Candidate

Probably Won’t Vote

Not Sure

Democrats

0%

20%

71%

1%

1%

7%

Republicans

49%

2%

32%

2%

2%

14%

Independents

11%

5%

46%

15%

3%

21%

Other Party

6%

3%

34%

6%

3%

47%

Registered Voters

19%

9%

52%

3%

2%

15%

 

 

U.S. House Elections

 

Regarding the race for the U.S. House of Representatives, will you most likely be voting for the Republican, the Democrat, or an independent/third party candidate for your district?

 

                                          Republican                                31%

                                          Democrat                                 40%

                                          Independent/Third Party                        6%

                                          Probably Won’t Vote                 4%

                                          Not Sure                                   20%

                                          Refused                                    <1%

 

Republican Challenger

Democratic Challenger

Independent/

Third Party Candidate

Probably Won’t Vote

Not Sure

Democrats

1%

84%

3%

2%

10%

Republicans

78%

5%

4%

2%

11%

Independents

23%

21%

17%

6%

33%

Other Party

3%

19%

13%

3%

63%

Registered Voters

31%

41%

6%

3%

19%